The Source

by FORA FINANCIAL

Small Business

Why AI Adoption Is Becoming a Leading Indicator of Growth

clock 3 minute read

Most coverage of AI adoption among businesses treats it as a story about technology. Our annual Business Insights Report suggests it might be more useful as a story about growth expectations.

39% of business owners say they're already using AI tools in their business, and another 8% plan to adopt it within the next year. On its own, that's a modest but real adoption number. The more interesting finding sits underneath it: how likely a business owner is to already be using AI tracks closely with how much revenue growth they expect.

AI Adoption Tracks Revenue Growth Expectations

Among business owners expecting significant revenue growth this year, 56% are already using AI. Among those expecting a significant decline, that number drops to 17%, roughly a third as often. Moderate-growth businesses land in between at 41%, and businesses expecting flat revenue sit at 26%. The pattern holds at every step: more growth expected, more AI in use.

This doesn't prove AI causes growth, and it would be a mistake to read it that way. It's just as plausible that growing businesses have more slack to experiment with new tools, or that owners who are already forward-looking about their business are also forward-looking about technology. What the data does support is a simpler claim: AI adoption is showing up as a marker of businesses that expect to be doing well, whether or not it's the reason why.

Where Small Businesses Are Actually Using AI

Marketing content creation leads by a wide margin at 67% among businesses using or planning to use AI, followed by data analysis and business insights (45%), customer service (44%), and sales outreach and lead generation (42%). Accounting and forecasting sits at 35%, HR and scheduling at 26%, and inventory management, the least common use case, at 21%. In short, AI adoption right now is concentrated in customer-facing and analytical work, not yet in the operational back office.

Why Some Businesses Aren't Using AI Yet

The businesses not using AI aren't necessarily behind. The most common reason given, by 35% of respondents, is a straightforward belief that their business doesn't need it. That's a legitimate answer for plenty of business models. But cost and complexity are close behind: 31% cite cost or budget concerns, and 28% cite complexity or lack of technical knowledge. Another 26% don't see clear value or ROI, and the same share have concerns about accuracy or reliability.

That's worth knowing if you're one of the 35%: the barrier usually isn't resistance to the idea, it's cost, complexity, and an unclear path to ROI. All three tend to look smaller if you start with one narrow use case instead of trying to overhaul everything at once. Marketing content is where most adopters begin, and it's the single most common use case for a reason.

Findings are drawn from Fora Financial's 2026 Annual Business Insights Report, fielded in February and March 2026 among a screened sample of 300-plus U.S. business owners.

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